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Submission ALLINGTON-1250 (Online)

Submission By Robert Allington, BC Democratic Alliance Policy and Communications Chair
AddressVictoria, BC, Canada
OrganizationBC Democratic Alliance
Date20040813
CategoryElectoral system change
Abstract
A 79-seat MMP proposal featuring no party lists, no discrimination against independents, recognition of regional diversity, a representative relationship between MLAs and electors, and seats for First Nations. [8 pages]

Submission Content

A 79-seat MMP proposal featuring no party lists, no discrimination against independents, recognition of regional diversity, a representative relationship between MLAs and electors, and seats for First Nations.


Designing a Mixed Member Proportional Representation
System to Express Canadian Constitutional Values

A Submission to
The Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform
From the B.C. Democratic Alliance

Submitted by Tom Morino, BCDA President and Interim Leader,
and Robert Allington, BCDA Policy and Communications Chair


The mandate of the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform is to assess models for electing members of the British Columbia Legislative Assembly and recommend whether the current model for these elections should be retained or another model should be adopted which is consistent with the both the Constitution of Canada and the Westminster parliamentary system. Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) representation clearly is one option.

Sister nations of the Commonwealth, such as New Zealand, that share a common Westminster parliamentary heritage, have adopted MMP. What other nations, who honour the Crown, have done, could be applied to Canada and British Columbia. This proposal, while it supports MMP, does not propose to import a system identical with any other used either within the Commonwealth, or within the broader community of nations. Instead it draws upon the unique geographical, cultural and social characteristics of British Columbia in search of a balanced system of representative government. Like many other proposals to the Citizens' Assembly it can be described as a Made-in-BC solution, in this case from a registered British Columbia political party. The proposal is the result of internal party discussions that have sought to address voters' concerns about various models of electoral reform under consideration before the Assembly.

In accordance with the mandate of the Citizens' Assembly we have taken into account the potential effects of the proposal on government, the Legislative Assembly and political parties. Similarly, we have attempted work within the existing parameters of a 79-seat Legislature, and we have limited ourselves primarily to the manner by which voters' ballots may be translated into elected members.

The preparation for this submission has attempted to take into account the hundreds of presentations and numerous online submissions to your Assembly, and like the Assembly itself to determine what values should be expressed by the British Columbia electoral system. The Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform has selected nine proposals from the many received for presentation to the Full Assembly in September. Please consider the following as an additional option, which acknowledges not only the strengths of some of the presentations you will consider in Full Assembly, but also, we believe, addresses some of the perceived problems. You will in September consider various choices including: the Alternative Vote (AV) system, Single Transferable Vote (STV), Mixed Member Proportional Representation based on Party Lists, or potentially retaining the current Single Member Plurality (SMP) system.

Like Bruce Halsor, National Vice-President of non-partisan organization Fair Vote Canada, members of the BCDA policy committee agree that MMP, if designed correctly, can achieve the goals identified by that organization and others as desirable. These include broad proportionality, extended voter choice, regional representation, and equality of votes. Mr. Halsor is expected to be one of your September Full Assembly presenters, as is Tom Hoenisch, a proponent of MMP. Mr. Hoenisch's proposal forecasts a 72-seat Legislature, comprising 36 first-past-the-post SMP seats, and 36 PR seats elected from party lists, a discriminatory five percent threshold designed to exclude minority opinion, and a twin-voteone for the party and one for the candidate. We believe another model of MMP may better address the values that should characterize voting in the province.

Another presenter, who will appear before the Full Assembly in September, is Nick Loenen. Mr. Loenen proposes what he describes as a Preferential Plus (PP), a mixed STV/AV approach which creates two classes of voters, in 14 STV multi-seat and 9 northern AV single-seat ridings. In nine northern ridings, AV would manufacture majority seats through a system similar to that used in British Columbia in the 1950s, while elsewhere STV would allow voters to rank candidates within parties, and candidates among parties. PP would extend voter choice for some voters, but falls short of meeting other appropriate goals of electoral reform, including broad proportionality, transparency and equality of votes.

Notably, Mr. Loenen correctly identifies the dilemma of party list systems of proportional representation which tend to empower parties rather than people and he emphasizes, as have other submissions to the Assembly, the need to maintain a geographical link between MLAs and their constituents. The BCDA MMP proposal addresses both of these problems by eliminating party lists and creating regional electoral districts in which candidates would compete for available PR seats.

Designing a Mixed Member Proportional representation system appropriate to British Columbia is a question of balancing values to create a system, which is sufficiently transparent to be easily understood by everyone. The values to be considered include: equality before the law, the reasonable expectation that voter preferences will be translated into a stable and effective government, meaningful choices that ensure every vote counts, acknowledgement of regional diversity and recognition of the importance of the traditional relationship between the elector and his MLA. Most importantly, these goals must be accomplished while bearing in mind the values expressed by the Canadian Constitution and its Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

AFFIRMATIVE ACTION FOR VOTERS
The BCDA cherishes the democratic rights expressed by the Charter of Rights and Freedoms, which provide every citizen of Canada with the right to vote in an election for members of the House of Commons, or of a Legislative Assembly, and to be qualified for membership therein. As a political party, we also value the equality rights of the Charter, which guarantee each of us equality before the law and equal protection and benefit of the law.

The dilemma for the Canadian electorate in general, and for British Columbians in particular, is that although we may all be equal in our right to vote, none of us is equal in our right to have our views, or those of like-minded persons, expressed in the Legislature. Our Single Member Plurality system, and the electoral laws that enable it, may give each of us the right to vote, but they do not extend to every citizen what should be a fundamental benefit of those laws.

Framed in terms of the section 15(2) of Charter of Rights and Freedoms, electoral reform may be seen as a kind of affirmative action program for voters, a change that has as its object the amelioration of conditions of disadvantaged individuals or groups.

The inequalities of the current electoral system are especially apparent in the results of the 2001 British Columbia elections. The governing Liberal party with 56.45 percent of the popular vote received 77 of the 79 available seats, and has acknowledged no official opposition. The New Democratic Party with 21.56 percent received only two seats, while others such as the Green Party, with substantial support in the populace, have no representation. These latter political groups and their individual supporters are clearly disadvantaged, effectively disenfranchised, by the current electoral system, and are worthy of some ameliorative action that would ensure their equality before the law.

Among the nine anticipated September presentations only one, that prepared by Dr. Julian West, addresses another fundamental inequity within the current processthe under-representation of First Nations. In accordance with the recommendations of Lortie Commission (1991) and the Law Commission of Canada (2004), the British Columbia Democratic Alliance recommends that the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform include First Nations representation in any proposal for electoral change. The historical disenfranchisement of First Nations has today been replaced by a system of electoral districts in which First Nations, because they are dispersed within the broader population, are effectively discriminated against based upon national origin. This is clearly inappropriate in the context of the contemporary Canadian Constitutional framework.

Dr. West proposes three First Nations seats, based on the Lortie Commission recommendation of one First Nation representative for each quotient equal to 85 percent of the provincial quotient, and his assumption that 75 percent of the estimated 170,000 First Nations voters would opt to vote on First Nations' rolls. The current provincial quota is slightly under 50,000 (obtained by dividing the 2001 census population by the number of districts, 79). Since the Fisher decision on provincial boundaries allows a deviation of 25% from the provincial quota, Dr. West's conclusion of three seats is far from clear. An appropriate quota may be as many as four seats. Despite our reservations, for the purposes of modeling this proposal, we have used Dr. West's estimate.

Similarly, Dr. West's simple division of First Nations into Southern, Northern and Urban categories, may not accurately reflect the cultural realities of the First Nations population which includes more than two dozen language groups and significant national diversity. For these reasons, any recommendation for including First Nations' representation should include the proviso that a determination of any electoral boundaries should be achieved by and with the consent of First Nations. Notwithstanding the concerns expressed, achieving electoral reform that would include a place for First Nations people in the debates of the Legislature would help to raise public awareness of First Nations issues and encourage a fully participatory democracy, which acknowledges the dignity and inherent worth of all citizens.

THE B.C. DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE PROPOSAL
Whatever system the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform may recommend, if the voters of British Columbia by referendum vote to accept a new method of electing the Legislative Assembly, the B.C. Democratic Alliance will work to ensure subsequent Legislation reflects the wishes of the electorate. The following proposal however is one approach that expresses the values that appear to be appropriate to electoral reform and that we believe are consistent with the Citizens' Assembly mandate.

1.  A 79-SEAT LEGISLATURE. Although the adoption of a new method of translating voters' ballots into elected members may necessitate a redistribution of electoral boundaries, working with a model which envisions a Legislature of the same magnitude as the existing House avoids the perception that the Citizens' Assembly may have exceeded its mandate.

2.  48-SEATS ELECTED BY SINGLE MEMBER PLURALITY48 seats comprising 60.76% of those available in the existing Legislature are sufficient in most cases to ensure a viable government. As many presenters and submissions to the Citizens' Assembly have observed, some proportional systems tend to create pizza parliaments, which are inherently unstable and unable to govern effectively.

As Dr. Julian West has noted MMP systems which set aside fewer than 33 percent of the seats for proportional representation would not have corrected the problems of the last two elections. This was confirmed by our own modeling of election results for 1996, and in 2001.

As we observed earlier in this presentation, creating an MMP representation system for British Columbia is a question of balancing values. Alternative Vote (AV) approaches, such as that proposed by Arpal Dosanjh (another presenter who will appear before the Full Assembly) tend to overemphasize the value of majority support, at the expensive of equality, broad proportionality and acknowledgement of minority opinion. STV (as proposed by Dr. West) and combined the STV/AV (proposed by Loenen) tend to overemphasize enhanced choice over other values such as accessibility and transparency and real proportionality.

The BCDA proposal places sufficient emphasis on SMP seats to encourage stability and maintain the traditional relationship between MLAs and their SMP electorate, and through a system of regional PR representation creates the same relationship for PR MLAs . At the same time, we avoid the discriminatory thresholds and party lists inherent in the Hoenisch MMP plan. We also enhance voter preference, since one vote may contribute not only to the election of a SMP candidate, but also to regional and provincial PR candidates without discrimination against independents and minority parties.

3.  31 SEATS ELECTED BY PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTION. Proportional Representation for the purposes of this proposal would reflect both the percentage of the vote achieved by a candidate and his or her party (if any), and in the case of First Nations candidates, their constituencies' percentage of the aggregate provincial population. Of the 31 seats available proportionally, 24 would be regional and 7 provincial. For the purposes of electing regional PR representatives, 6 Regional Electoral Districts would be created. A probable geographical distribution could provide a Northern Regional District, one for the East, one for Vancouver Island, and three for the Lower Mainland.

This approach addresses the concerns of Chris Morey, who spoke on behalf of northern voters at the Fort Nelson Public Hearings, and who will make a presentation to the Full Assembly. With a strong component of Single Member Plurality seats, and Regional Proportional Representation based on electoral legitimacy, northern voters need not be concerned that they will be outvoted, outnumbered and not counted, as Mr. Morey expressed it.

Indeed access to MLAs who share the voters' experience with remote areas of the province may actually be enhanced. If the local first-past-post representative is unresponsive to a voter's interest, the regional PR-rep from an opposing political perspective will likely be more receptive. Given the territorial vastness and sparse population of the north-central part of the province, Dr. Julian West's proposal for assigning MLAs responsibilities in circuits within a regional district has merit, and could be adapted for this MMP proposal. Another approach to recognize the special geographical circumstances of the north might be to define sub-regions within the northern Regional Electoral District based on the principle of one regional PR-seat being available for every two SMP seats.

The BCDA proposal also addresses the concerns of former Social Credit MLA Jim Nielsen, a proponent of retaining the current electoral system and a strong critic of PR, who like others will appear before the Full Assembly in September.

"The idea of a person becoming an MLA because their name is on a political list without benefit of direct endorsement by the electorate is appalling in our system, Mr. Nielsen told the public hearing in Kelowna. We agree! We do not believe in backdoor MLAs, as Mr. Nielson so aptly described list-appointed PR representatives. That is why the BCDA proposal incorporates neither closed nor open party lists.

4.  NO PARTY LISTS: To qualify for a PR-seat, under this proposal, a candidate must have sought election as a Single Member Plurality candidate. As Katherine Gordon, another of the nine presenters who will appear before the Full Assembly has observed from her experience in New Zealand, party lists tend to create numerous technical and perceptual problems. MLAs selected from party lists can be seen as second class members, who represent no particular constituency except their party. When, as a matter of conscience, a member decides to sever his or her connection with their party and sit as an independent, that member no longer has electoral legitimacy. The BCDA proposal addresses both of these problems. By eliminating party lists, we also remove the possibility that a closed list system will ensure safe seats to a party elite.

Since proportional seats would be gained on the basis of a candidate's and/or his/her party's performance in first-past-the-post contests, the MLA has electoral legitimacy and a formal regional constituency. While Ms. Gordon addresses the some of the problems of MMP as implemented in New Zealand, as a proponent of MMP she also presents a strong argument for its benefits. Among the benefits she identifies are the enhancement of political debate both on the floor of the Legislature and in the standing committees, where not just one voice, but many are heard, all of them working to keep each other honest, open to compromise and receptive to innovation.

We also acknowledge the insights of Ian McKinnon, who like Katherine Gordon will be among the 9 presenters to the Full Assembly, particularly for his observations regarding party lists, which remove control of nomination processes from constituencies and voters. Mr. McKinnon is a supporter of the PR-Light proposal prepared by Prof. Bryon Schwartz. Prof. Schwartz' proposal recommends a 15-20 percent proportional representation component. This is insufficient, in our opinion, to adequately address the inequalities inherent in the contemporary Single Member Plurality system. With 39.24 percent of the seats available for PR representatives, we seek to balance the desirable goal of broad proportionality with the equally desirable objective of stable government, without abandoning a representative relationship between the voter and the MLA.

5. ONE VOTE: Electors would vote as they do today for the candidate and concurrently, if the candidate is not an independent, for the party of their choice. Retaining the current system of voting ensures clarity and comprehensibility to every voter. Both the Loenen STV/AV proposal and the West STV proposals, feature preferential ballots. The number of candidates, the lack of clarity in defining the direct relationship between an MLA and the voter in multi-member districts, and the number of choices make preferential list systems almost as inappropriate as party list systems. Voters should not need an instruction manual to mark a ballot. The West and Loenen proposals enhance opportunities for expressing voter preference. The BCDA proposal achieves the same objective, while retaining the familiar contemporary ballot. One vote in a single member plurality riding may result in the voter's preferred candidate for that riding being elected either as SMP or PR representative. Alternatively it may contribute to a PR candidate of similar political persuasion, being elected as a PR candidate within the voter's Regional Electoral District. Even a vote for an independent candidate or a minority party member, who does not qualify for SMP election, may result in that candidate, or another of similar political persuasion, being elected from one of seven available province-wide PR seats. This is a system which rewards conscience rather than strategic voting, in which every vote may count, and where no vote is truly wasted.

6. REGIONAL REPRESENTATION: For the purposes of translating ballots cast into seats for elected members, the province would be divided into 48 conventional SMP electoral districts, 6 regional PR electoral districts comprising 4 PR seats and 8 single member plurality seats each, and one-province-wide PR electoral district comprising 7 seats.

The disposition of the 7 province-wide PR seats is described in sections 7, 8 and 9 below. Here's how the proportional Regional Electoral Districts would work. When the election results are tabulated, first-past-the-post MLA's are elected in each of the 8 SMP constituencies in each of the 6 regional electoral districts.
The totals are then taken for all the SMP ridings within a Regional Electoral District. The four remaining Regional PR seats would assigned to the party or parties that did not elect at least their proportion of MLA's based on the total vote for the District up to the maximum of four PR MLA's per Regional Electoral District. Candidates would be elected in proportion to their party's share of combined vote for the parties qualifying for top-up seats, and their ranking in terms of electoral support.

In our policy roundtable we considered various models for creating regional PR electoral districts including some which increased the size of the Legislature and others like the Hoenisch proposal which reduced the number of seats. At the same time we attempted to predict what effect any given model would have had upon the results of recent British Columbia elections. The latter kind of reverse engineering is far from an exact science. Much depends upon the electoral district boundaries that might emerge from any redistribution, and the method of assigning the top-up seats to achieve perceived proportionality. Several patterns however emerged.

   a. Electoral boundaries which transect or concatenate the pockets of regional support for minor parties such as BC Unity and Reform BC can either disproportionately reward or penalize candidates.

   b. MMP systems which set aside less than 33 percent of available seats for PR, while more inclusive, are insufficient to correct the significant disparity between voter preferences and the actual results of recent BC elections.

   c. Creating regional electoral districts that provide only a minimal number of top-up PR seats within a given district will tend to reward second-placed parties at the expense of third and fourth-placed parties, thus overvaluing the benefit of a united opposition. This could also be one effect of special sub-districts in the north. From our evaluation, a total of 6 regional electoral districts with 4 PR seats per district, provided the best opportunity for creating a reasonably balanced opposition within the context of a 79-seat legislature. The addition of province-wide PR seats provides for a further adjustment.

   d. Apportioning seats based on a party's share of the regionally determined percentage of the total popular vote, rather than a party's share of the combined total of the parties qualifying for PR seats as we propose, may also tend to overcompensate second-placed parties to the disadvantage of third and fourth-placed contenders.
e. Due to the effects of rounding-up in determining a party's fair share of regional PR seats, various mathematical anomalies may result in overcompensation of some parties to the disadvantage of others when the results are compared with achieved percentages of the total provincial popular vote. This observation, in particular, persuaded us that some province-wide PR seats were essential.

7.  PROPORTIONAL RECOGNITION OF INDEPENDENTS & MINORITY PARTIES Under most MMP systems, independents and candidates who represent parties which do not compete in all ridings are inappropriately discriminated against. We propose that one of the seven available province-wide PR seats should be reserved for an independent or a person representing a party that would otherwise not be represented in the legislature. The eligible candidate would be the individual who achieved the largest percentage of the popular vote in all of the 48 SMP electoral districts and who had not otherwise qualified for a seat, or whose party was not otherwise represented in the legislature. In the six regional electoral districts, candidates representing parties that sought election in every riding who did not achieve a seat in the SMP contest would have a second chance for election as a proportional representative. This proposal would give independents and minority parties a similar opportunity.

8.  THREE PROVINCE-WIDE PR ADJUSTMENT SEATS. Three of the 7 province-wide PR seats would be set aside, to provide for a second round of proportional adjustment. This should be sufficient to address the concerns that may emerge from electoral boundary definitions, and the overcompensation of some parties arising from regional rounding-up. Mathematical overcompensation of one individual party is unlikely to be simultaneously repeated across all 6 regional electoral districts.

9. PROPORTIONAL RECOGNITION OF FIRST NATIONS CITIZENS.
In recognition of the unique role that First Nations have within the British Columbia cultural mosaic, we propose that seats be reserved for First Nations candidates. Persons of First Nations heritage would be guaranteed seats in a manner similar to that used in New Zealand for persons of Maori heritage. The number of seats available would be assigned in proportion to the First Nations percentage of the total population, bearing in mind the usual variations in electoral district magnitude permitted by provincial legislation. The specific details of representation and electoral boundaries would be negotiated and achieved with the consent of the First Nations.

It may be that the ultimate resolution would provide for 3 Single Member Plurality seats for First Nations, or 2 SMP and 1 PR. It is also entirely possible that First Nations may select a non-partisan model of election, similar to Nunavut. The description of these seats, as proportional in the context of this proposal, appropriately refers to their proportionality in terms of the population of the constituents when compared to the overall provincial population. For the non-aboriginal population, PR seats would constitute up to 40.76 percent of the Legislature, still within the range to provide broad proportionality, yet ensure a reasonably stable legislature. If First Nations' representatives were regarded as part of the overall SMP quota, then PR seats would constitute approximately 35 percent of the Legislature. In effect, however, whatever their party affiliation (if any), First Nations MLAs would probably function in some respects as an independent (but not necessarily unified) partisan interest, similar to that of a minor political party.

VISUALIZING THE REGIONAL ELECTORAL DISTRICTS
The physical redistribution of the electoral districts and the actual configuration of regional electoral districts are beyond the mandate of the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform. But for the purposes of visualizing how the regional districts might be composed, the potential impact on the composition of the legislature and the relationship between elected representatives and the people, we present the following.

From the existing provincial map of British Columbia's Electoral Districts published by Elections BC, certain natural district affiliations emerge. Vancouver Island currently comprises 13 SMP electoral districts. If we think of the province in terms of similar 13 district accumulations, a second emerges quite naturally from 13 electoral districts in the southeast of the province beginning near the Alberta border. A similar grouping can be made from the northern and central parts of the province, and the Lower Mainland could be assembled into three regional electoral districts. Six times 13 is 78, leaving one electoral district to spare. Now imagine that a riding at the point of convergence is more or less equally split among the districts. Thought of this way you get something of a picture of the political balance of rural and urban voters that might emerge from redistribution. Six regional electoral districts, potentially one from the Island, 3 Lower Mainland, one eastern, and one northern. Other configurations are possible, but this in one way of looking at it.

If Vancouver Island formerly had 13 representatives, after such a re-distribution it would still have 12 representatives, and would likely share at least one the 7 province-wide aboriginal, proportional adjustment, independent or minority seats. Eight MLAs within a regional electoral district would be elected by the familiar SMP first-past-the-post system from individual ridings. The SMP electoral districts would admittedly be somewhat larger than those that currently exist. But the additional four regional PR MLAs and any province-wide PR adjustment, independent or minority seats would be assigned proportionally based on a candidate's rank in the SMP election, and the ranking of his or her party (if any).

Urban candidates from southern Vancouver Island would have no particular advantage over rural PR candidates from the North Island. Election for regional proportional seats would depend entirely on the electoral performance of a given candidate and his or her party (if any). As regional MLAs, these representatives would represent all of Vancouver Island. An elector whose views differ from those of his or her SMP representative could seek out a regional representative with a shared political perspective.

All of the above should only enhance the potential for meaningful debate, and create an embracing Legislature enriched by the diversity of British Columbia life.

CONCLUSION
We make this submission in the spirit of representative democracy. On behalf of the British Columbia Democratic Alliance, we congratulate the members of the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform for the inclusive respect and dedication with which you have addressed and continue to investigate the possibilities for electoral change in our Province.

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